FNUS71 KALY 210955
FWSALY

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOR DUCK POND RX...TNC/SHAWANGUNK PARTNERSHIP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
555 AM EDT WED MAR 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE OUR WEATHER FOR MUCH OF
THE WEEK WITH DRY WEATHER AND A GOOD DEAL OF SUNSHINE EACH DAY.

A FULL RECOVERY IS EXPECTED EACH OF THE NEXT COUPLE NIGHTS (AS RH
VALUES LOOK TO REACH 90 PERCENT OR HIGHER). RH VALUES THEN LOOK TO
DROP TO THE MODERATE LEVEL TODAY AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON (30-50
PERCENT). THE WIND THROUGH WEDNESDAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN FAIRLY
LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS LIKELY
TO REMAIN BELOW 20 MPH.

BY THURSDAY...THE WIND WILL BE MORE WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY 5 TO 15
MPH...WITH GUSTS IN THE 20-25 MPH RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

BY FRIDAY...AS A DRY COLD FRONT SLIPS SOUTH OF THE REGION...THE WIND
WILL TURN NORTH OR NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...WITH GUSTS NEARING 25
MPH. THE RH VALUES LOOK TO DROP TO VERY LOW LEVELS IN MOST PLACES BY
AFTERNOON...DOWN TO AROUND 20 PERCENT. SUNSHINE WILL BE PLENTIFUL.
THIS SCENARIO WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES
FOR THE POSSIBLE ISSUANCE OF STATEMENTS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    LATE.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80.
RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...KL
REQUESTED BY...GABRIEL CHAPIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120321.DUCKP.01/ALY