FNUS71 KBUF 211338 FWSBUF SPOT FORECAST FOR GRINDSTONE ISLAND...FIRE MANAGEMENT - USDA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 938 AM EDT WED MAR 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OFF THE EAST COAST WILL MAINTAIN OUR STRETCH OF RECORD OR NEAR RECORD WARMTH THROUGH THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND BE FOLLOWED BY COOLER TEMPERATURES FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BUT READINGS WILL STILL BE ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 38 (FAIR). TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................64 67 70 71 72 71 RH..................77 72 65 64 63 64 20 FT WIND DIR......S SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......7 8 10 10 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 3 3 SMK DISPERSION......23 30 35 38 37 31 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSION....MIN 0 (POOR). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................69 66 64 62 59 57 56 56 55 54 53 52 RH..................67 73 78 83 88 93 94 94 94 95 97 96 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW S S SW SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD......7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 SMK DISPERSION......18 7 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 $$ FORECASTER...HITCHCOCK REQUESTED BY...KEVIN BEATTIE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120321.GRIND.01/BUF