FNUS71 KCTP 211031 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR MONTOUR PRESERVE 1...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 631 AM EDT WED MAR 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... STRATUS DECK WILL REMAIN THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE CLEARING BY EARLY AFTERNOON. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN VERY WARM AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY. A SLOW-MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES. LIGHT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............47 46 39 31 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................61 67 71 72 RH..................77 62 54 51 20 FT WIND..........SE 1 S 2 S 3 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 MIX HGT (FT)........2300 3900 4900 4600 TRANSPORT WIND......S 2 S 3 S 5 SW 6 LAL.................1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............26 26 23 31 45 51 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................70 65 62 59 57 56 RH..................55 63 72 78 83 87 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST..... MIX HGT (FT)........4100 2500 900 200 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......S 7 S 9 S 6 S 2 SE 2 SE 2 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700-5200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 2 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............55 72 49 44 42 38 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................54 55 60 65 71 74 RH..................91 87 82 69 57 50 20 FT WIND..........S 1 S 2 S 2 SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........200 400 1400 3200 4800 5100 TRANSPORT WIND......E 1 NE 1 S 3 SW 6 W 5 NW 5 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP REQUESTED BY...PATRICK MCELHENNY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120321.MONTO.01/CTP