FNUS71 KCTP 211235 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR SHRIVERS RIDGE 2...PA BUREAU OF FORESTRY/DCNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 835 AM EDT WED MAR 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN VERY WARM AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY. A SLOW-MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY DENSE FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4300-4400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............36 29 26 21 19 16 11 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................62 65 68 71 71 72 72 RH..................73 65 58 52 51 50 49 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......2 3 3 3 5 5 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.7 2.4 3.1 3.7 4.2 4.4 4.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....6 7 7 7 7 6 6 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............9 9 9 9 14 22 25 29 38 43 45 48 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................70 67 65 63 61 59 58 57 56 55 54 52 RH..................53 58 64 68 72 77 79 81 84 86 88 94 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......6 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.7 2.7 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S S SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....7 7 8 9 9 9 7 6 3 2 1 1 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6300-6500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 1 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 0 TO 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............49 63 35 32 33 31 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................52 53 59 65 71 74 RH..................93 89 82 70 56 49 20 FT WIND..........S 2 S 2 SW 3 SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........100 300 1300 3100 5100 6500 TRANSPORT WIND......S 1 W 1 SW 5 SW 6 W 3 NW 6 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/GARTNER REQUESTED BY...CRAIG ALDENDERFER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120321.SHRIV.02/CTP