FNUS73 KDVN 211301
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD BOTTOMS...PORT LOUISA NWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
801 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH AND GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
A STORM SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
MISSOURI THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM OVER
CENTRAL IOWA WILL EVENTUALLY SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. EXPECT SOAKING RAINS THURSDAY
WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 78.
RH..................73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 12 TO 17 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NONE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL EARLY THIS MORNING...
                    THEN INCREASING TO 4600-5600 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    25 TO 35 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............64     71     75     77     75
RH..............73     57     50     50     55
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 2   SE 9   S 12   S 11   SE 8
EYE LVL WND GST.5      15     25     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....400    3400   5200   5400   2900
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10  SE 25  S 35   S 33   SE 20
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 60.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................NONE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL AFTER SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
LAL.................3
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1000 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 3500-4500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LE
REQUESTED BY...ERIK ACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120321.MUDBO.01/DVN