FNUS74 KHUN 211446 FWSHUN SPOT FORECAST FOR WATERLOO WILDFIRE...FLORENCE LAUDERDALE EMA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 946 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0926 CDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY EXIT TODAY AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CAUSE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP NEAR THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON WHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALL 36 TO 38 PERCENT. THE APPROACH OF THE DISTURBANCE WILL ALSO INCREASE SOUTHEASTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS TO 30-32 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES CLOSER OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE WITH TRANSPORT WINDS DIMINISHING SOMEWHAT (15 TO 20 MPH). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON THURSDAY, AND ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY NIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL START OFF FROM THE SOUTH DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND THEN SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST BY 2PM-4PM THURSDAY AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82 TO 84. MIN HUMIDITY........36 TO 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CWR.................20 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1PM...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-7900 FT AGL BY THIS AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 30 TO 32 MPH BY 11 AM THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............67 74 80 83 82 RH..............69 56 43 38 39 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 14 SE 15 SE 13 SE 9 MIX HGT (FT)....3900 6800 7900 7900 6200 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 SE 31 S 32 S 32 S 30 DISPERSION IDX..14 106 115 115 99 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 LAL.............1 1 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 62. MAX HUMIDITY........84 TO 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................30 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 7PM...THEN 1 UNTIL 1AM...THEN 3 BY 2AM. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 26 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............81 75 71 68 65 63 RH..............41 51 60 65 72 81 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 6 SE 3 SE 5 SE 5 SE 3 MIX HGT (FT)....6200 3200 1000 1000 600 600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 30 SE 26 SE 18 SE 18 SE 15 SE 13 DISPERSION IDX..99 66 24 13 10 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 30 30 LAL.............2 1 1 1 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71 TO 73. MIN HUMIDITY........57 TO 59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................70 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 7AM...THEN 4 BY 8AM. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL RISING TO 2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL BY 2 PM. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 12 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............62 63 66 69 71 72 RH..............84 83 76 69 64 60 20 FT WIND......SE 3 SE 7 SE 10 S 10 S 9 S 8 MIX HGT (FT)....600 1200 2000 2000 2600 2100 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 13 SE 13 S 8 S 8 NW 12 N 13 DISPERSION IDX..8 11 11 16 26 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 60 60 60 70 70 LAL.............3 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...LATIMER REQUESTED BY...TIM GREER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120321.WATER.01/HUN