FNUS73 KILX 211329
FWSILX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CCFPD  PHASE 9...CHAMPAIGN COUNTY FOREST PRESERVE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN, IL
829 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER VERY WARM AND RAIN FREE DAY IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE GUSTING TO
AROUND 25 MPH BY LATE MORNING...WITH THE GUSTINESS LINGERING UNTIL
AROUND SUNSET. THESE GUSTY WINDS AND PEAK AFTERNOON MIXING
HEIGHTS OF 5000 FEET OR GREATER WILL AGAIN PROVIDE GOOD SMOKE
DISPERSION.

A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION STARTING
LATE TONIGHT...ACCOMPANIED BY LIGHTER WINDS AND A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE CLOUDS...PRECIPIATION...AND LOWER
MIXING HEIGHTS THAT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM INTO SATURDAY WILL
BE MUCH LESS CONDUCIVE TO PRESCRIBED BURNING THAN THE LAST SEVERAL
DAYS HAVE BEEN.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300-6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 25 TO
                    33 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR EARLY...INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)          9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............41     40     39     44     50
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................67     73     79     82     82
RH..................68     57     47     43     43
20 FT WIND..........S 9    S 11   S 14   S 14   S 11
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     25     30     30     25
EYE LEVEL WIND......S 7    S 8    S 10   S 10   S 8
EYE LEVEL GUST......20     25     30     30     25
MIX HGT (FT)........1900   3900   5500   6200   4300
TRANSPORT WIND......S 23   S 32   S 32   S 32   S 25
CWR.................0      0      10     10     10
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      5      4
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...44     127    178    200    110

$$
FORECASTER...HJS
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN HUDSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120321.CCFPD.01/ILX