FNUS72 KJAX 211551
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE BRYANT 14...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1151 AM EDT WED MAR 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1137 EDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGHER MOISTURE CONTENT WILL KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH FRIDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BE NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. WINDS
WILL BE LESS THAN 15 MPH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THE REST OF TODAY IN MARION COUNTY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH REST OF THE
                    DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....50.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........51     56     57
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............80     83     84
RH..............57     49     46
20 FT WIND......SE 13  SE 15  SE 14
20 FT WIND GUST.17     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....3100   4200   4400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14  E 16   SE 20
DISPERSION INDX.34     46     57
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     40     40
LAL.............2      2      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1600 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH BECOMING EAST 2 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............9.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........58     57     50     48     48     46
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............82     75     71     68     66     64
RH..............50     64     75     83     90     94
20 FT WIND......E 10   E 7    E 6    E 5    E 3    E 3
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3900   2500   1600   1100   700    400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 21  SE 20  SE 17  SE 14  E 10   E 5
LVORI...........9      9      9      9      9      9
DISPERSION INDX.76     43     30     9      5      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     20     10     10     10     10
LAL.............3      2      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 1 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO
                    12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120321.LAKEB.02/JAX