FNUS73 KJKL 210017 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR TALOR BRANCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 817 PM EDT TUE MAR 20 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN DOMINANT THROUGH MIDWEEK. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AS COMPARED TO TUESDAY. HOWEVER...THE THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. AN EXTREMELY ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT BEFORE 10 PM AT THE PROJECT LOCATION AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT THE PROBABILITY OF THIS OCCURRING IS ONLY ABOUT 10 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56-58. HUMIDITY............MAX 82-85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH SOUTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH AROUND 0200. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH SOUTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH AROUND 0200. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH SOUTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH AROUND 0200. POP.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........28 43 44 17 21 25 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 72 68 66 60 58 RH..............43 55 64 66 79 82 20 FT WIND......SE 3 SE 3 SE 2 SSE 2 SSE 2 SSE 1 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........65-68 AT IGNITION...MAX 82. HUMIDITY............64-68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AT 4-8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE BECOMING SOUTH SOUTHEAST 3-7 MPH AROUND 1500. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH AT 4-8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE BECOMING SOUTH SOUTHEAST 3-7 MPH AROUND 1500. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AT 4-8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE BECOMING SOUTH SOUTHEAST 3-7 MPH AROUND 1500. POP.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1868 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 7600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH AT IGNITION OTHERWISE... BECOMING SOUTH SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH AROUND 1500. DISPERSION INDEX....16 AT IGNITION...67 MAX. VENT RATE...........16354 KNOT-FT AT IGNITION...66973 KNOT-FT MAX. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........34 38 42 50 53 53 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............57 68 75 79 80 79 RH..............83 65 47 40 37 40 20 FT WIND......SSE 2 S 6 S 8 S 6 SSE 6 SSE 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 13 12 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...PELTON REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120321.TALOR.01/JKL