FNUS73 KJKL 211037 CCA
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR TALOR BRANCH...USFS...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
621 AM EDT WED MAR 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

CONTINUED HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AND
MIN RHS NEAR 30 PERCENT. THE WINDS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT TODAY
WHICH MAY MAKE THE DISPERSION INDEX A BIT LESS THAN OPTIMUM FOR
PRESCRIBED BURNING UNTIL AFTER 11 AM. WITH WINDS THIS LIGHT...IT IS
MORE LIKELY TO SEE LOCAL EFFECTS DURING THE DAY WITH UPSLOPE WINDS.
ALSO WITH LIGHT GRADIENT WINDS...THE FIRE COULD ALSO INFLUENCE THE
WIND DIRECTION.  WARM TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE
TOMORROW...HOWEVER EXPECTING A BETTER CHANCE FOR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS TOMORROW.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH
                    AFTER NOON.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH IN THE MID TEENS MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....102.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........30     30     28     31     36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     73     77     79     79
RH..............60     49     38     37     40
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 6    S 7    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5
DISPERSION INDEX25     57     100    98     80

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........39     38     36     35     36     38
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............74     69     66     63     62     60
RH..............50     58     65     70     75     78
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 3   SE 3   S 3    S 3    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.       5             5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL
                    EVENING.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....75.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........39     43     49     53     54     54
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............59     65     72     76     78     78
RH..............81     68     56     49     44     45
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 6    S 7    S 7    S 7    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...JACOBSON
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120321.TALOR.01/JKL