FNUS73 KLSX 211356
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG RIDGE...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
856 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL MAINTAIN ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND TONIGHT. SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI WILL GRADUALLY
SPREAD EAST OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHEAST 4 TO 6 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 12 MPH...GUSTS TO AROUND 22
                    MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...3100 FT AGL
                    AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 33 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (13967-13983 M 2/S) AT MAX
                    HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHEAST WIND AROUND 12 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH DURING MID
                    EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 11 MPH LATE
                    IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8 TO
                    10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHEAST WIND 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 14 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR TO POOR (5106-5121 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GLASS
REQUESTED BY...MARK JOHANSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120321.LONGR.01/LSX