FNUS76 KMFR 211435
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTT BAR MT  HANDPILES...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
735 AM PDT WED MAR 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG A STALLED FRONT THROUGH SOUTHWEST
OREGON TODAY. STEADY PRECIPITATION WILL STAY MOSTLY NORTH OF THE
AREA THIS MORNING. BUT THE STALLED FRONT WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO
MOVE AGAIN AND A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER
TO THE BURN ELEVATION BY THURSDAY MORNING AND A SMALL SNOW
ACCUMULATION MAY OCCUR BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS. THE FRONT WILL
SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA THURSDAY WITH JUST ISOLATED SHOWERS BEHIND
IT. LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN MOSTLY OFFSHORE FRIDAY BUT MORE
PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND AS A
LOW DROPS SOUTH ALONG THE COAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN
                    LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-51.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7-9 MPH GUSTS 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................55 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-31.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-9 MPH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................95 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND
                    SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-44.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING WEST 5-7 MPH GUSTS TO 11 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...THOMAS SHICKLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120321.SCOTT.01/MFR