FNUS73 KPAH 211330 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR HILDRETH BLOCK B...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 830 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRUDGE EASTWARD INTO THE HEARTLAND THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. AS IT DOES...WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST. THE PRECIPITATION WILL IMPACT MAINLY SOUTHEAST MISSOURI THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN MOVE INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...WESTERN KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA ON THURSDAY. AFTER A BRIEF LULL IN THE ACTIVITY THURSDAY NIGHT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. RAIN CHANCES WILL END SATURDAY NIGHT AND DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE TAKES HOLD. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........79 AT IGNITION...MAX 85. RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-7000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 31 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............77 79 81 82 83 84 83 82 RH..............48 45 43 41 38 37 39 43 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 10 10 9 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 4.3 5.7 6.6 7.0 7.0 6.6 5.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SE TRANSP WIND SPD.31 31 30 31 31 30 31 30 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 23 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 21 TO 29 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............80 74 71 69 65 64 RH..............47 57 63 68 77 82 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 SE 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4800 1500 BLW100 300 300 100 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 29 SE 21 SE 16 SE 15 SE 15 S 12 CWR.............0 0 0 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...BILL RYAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120321.HILDR.02/PAH