FNUS71 KRNK 211742 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE HEAVEN RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 142 PM EDT WED MAR 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS BEING GENERATED ALONG WESTERN SLOPES OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THESE SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE WIDE SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SITS OVER THE REGION MAINTAINING UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES. THIS WARMTH IS AIDING IN THE GREEN-UP PROCESS AND IT IS ESTIMATED THE GROWING SEASON IS RUNNING ABOUT 3 WEEKS AHEAD OF NORMAL. A DAILY THREAT FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED AS A VERY SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES SOUTHWARD ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD FOR THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES FROM TEXAS INTO THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS. PENDING MOISTURE RECEIVED TODAY AND SCATTERED NATURE OF SHOWER ACTIVITY ANTICIPATED THURSDAY OR FRIDAY...THERE MAY BE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR PRESCRIBED BURNING FOR EITHER THURSDAY OR FRIDAY. THE WEEKEND WILL BE A WASH...FOLLOWED BY A DRYING TREND THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. NEXT BURN WINDOW SHOULD OPEN UP FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. CWR (0.01 IN).......50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH. TIME (EDT) 4 PM SKY (%).............59 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR TSTM COV............CHANCE TEMP................71 RH..................64 20 FT WIND..........S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 CWR.................40 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CWR (0.01 IN).......40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............76 81 74 60 46 37 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................70 66 63 61 60 58 RH..................63 64 70 74 78 81 20 FT WIND..........S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................40 30 10 10 10 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 8 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............31 30 33 39 46 57 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC TEMP................57 55 61 66 69 71 RH..................86 90 75 66 60 56 20 FT WIND..........S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 20 $$ FORECASTER...STONEFIELD REQUESTED BY...HAROLD SUTHERLAND TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120321.HORSE.01/RNK