FNUS72 KJAX 221140 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR BALDWIN BAY 2...FFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 740 AM EDT THU MAR 22 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0725 EDT ON MARCH 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BE 15 MPH OR LESS TODAY AND FRIDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND FRIDAY...MORE NUMEROUS OVER INLAND AREAS. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL BE PRECEDED BY SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN ON SUNDAY AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL APPROACH CRITICAL LEVELS EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....27. CHANCE OF PCPN......20-30 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........42 50 67 65 67 WEATHER COV.....PATCHY S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....FOG RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............61 70 77 81 82 RH..............98 79 60 50 50 20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 7 SE 10 SE 13 SE 12 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....100 1500 3000 4000 3900 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 3 SE 8 SE 12 SE 10 SE 9 DISPERSION INDX.2 16 37 28 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).5 20 20 30 30 LAL.............1 1 1 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....1. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LVORI...............10. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........68 67 66 66 66 63 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............80 74 69 67 64 63 RH..............55 71 82 88 94 99 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 6 SE 5 SE 3 SE 3 SE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 2000 1200 800 400 200 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 8 SE 8 SE 9 SE 7 SE 3 SE 2 LVORI...........10 10 10 10 10 10 DISPERSION INDX.20 5 6 3 2 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 10 10 LAL.............3 2 2 2 1 1 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....31. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...SHASHY REQUESTED BY...KATINA BRYANT TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120322.BALDW.01/JAX