FNUS72 KJAX 221946
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALDWIN BAY 2...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
346 PM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1535 EDT ON MARCH 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ABOVE
CRITICAL LEVELS. EAST WINDS WILL BE 10 TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH BEHIND THE SEABREEZE. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH QUICKLY AT SUNSET. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER
OR THUNDERSTORM ALONG THE SEABREEZE THIS AFTERNOON BUT NO PRECIP
IS EXPECTED ONCE THE SEABREEZE PASSES AND SKIES CLEAR. SKIES WILL
BECOME MOSTLY CLOUDY LATE TONIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....26.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........67     71
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............83     82
RH..............45     52
20 FT WIND......SE 14   SE 13
20 FT WIND GUST.18     16
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   3800
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10  SE 12
DISPERSION INDX.29     30
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 2
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............10.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........71     73     72     71     69     74
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP............81     75     71     68     66     65
RH..............54     67     78     83     88     92
20 FT WIND......SE 9   E 7    SE 5   SE 2   S 2    SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   2300   1500   1100   800    500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12  SE 14  SE 12  SE 7   S 2    SE 2
LVORI...........10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     20     20     20     10     10
LAL.............3      2      2      2      1      1

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.

$$
FORECASTER...SHULER
REQUESTED BY...KATINA BRYANT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120322.BALDW.02/JAX