FNUS73 KJKL 211904
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHELTON COPPERAS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
304 PM EDT WED MAR 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CONTINUED WARM AND
MOSTLY DRY WEATHER THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH SOUTH WINDS MAINLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST COULD SET OFF
SOME SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE DAY THURSDAY...BUT THE
PROBABILITY OF RAIN WILL BE LOW...WITH A MUCH GREATER CHANCE OF RAIN
HOLDING OFF UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....LOWER 50S IN VALLEYS TO NEAR 60 ON RIDGES.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT RIDGES TO NEAR 100 PERCENT VALLEYS.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING CALM IN VALLEYS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........10     9      14     31     34     35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............74     65     61     59     57     55
RH..............50     68     77     80     86     93
20 FT WIND......SE 3   SE 3   SE 3   S 3    S 3    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....UPPER 60S AT IGNITION...MAX LOWER 80S.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AT 4 TO 7 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAX 6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....62.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........37     44     48     53     58     61
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............56     68     74     78     80     78
RH..............93     63     54     47     42     46
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 6    S 7    S 7    S 7    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...HAL
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120322.SHELT.01/JKL