FNUS73 KLOT 221416 FWSLOT SPOT FORECAST FOR RIVER ROAD SEED BEDS...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 916 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL LIKELY HAVE SOME VARIABILITY IN DIRECTION BETWEEN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY. 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 MPH OR SO FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL INCREASE INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH GREATER COVERAGE OF RAIN EXPECTED THIS EVENING. THERE WILL ALSO BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LAL.................1-8 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 6400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 5300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /51400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD /83300 KNOT-FT/. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........85 87 90 92 93 94 96 97 99 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............72 75 77 78 78 77 75 74 72 RH..............60 57 56 55 55 56 60 62 66 20FT WIND DIR...150 160 160 160 160 160 160 170 190 20FT SPEED(MPH).5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 20FT SPEED(KT)..4 4 4 4 4 5 6 6 5 20FT GUST(MPH)..9 10 10 9 12 13 14 15 16 20FT GUST(KT)...8 9 9 8 10 11 12 13 14 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 4.7 5.8 6.9 6.4 5.9 5.3 4.8 4.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.140 150 160 160 170 170 180 190 190 TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 14 14 15 16 17 17 CWR.............20 20 20 40 40 40 60 60 60 LAL.............1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 VRATE KT-FT/100051 64 75 81 83 82 78 72 64 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56. RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. LAL.................1-8 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 99 99 98 98 97 WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............70 68 67 65 64 63 62 61 60 59 58 57 RH..............71 76 78 84 87 87 90 93 93 93 96 96 20FT WIND DIR...200 200 190 190 190 190 190 190 200 210 220 230 20FT SPEED(MPH).6 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 20FT SPEED(KT)..5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 20FT GUST(MPH)..16 15 14 12 9 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 20FT GUST(KT)...14 13 12 10 8 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 3.4 3.2 2.9 2.6 2.4 2.1 1.8 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.200 200 190 190 190 190 180 190 200 210 220 230 TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 16 14 13 10 9 8 7 6 6 5 CWR.............80 80 80 80 80 80 50 50 50 50 50 50 LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...BARDOU REQUESTED BY...JEFF MARTINA TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120322.RIVER.01/LOT