FNUS72 KMHX 221318 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR HWY 58 OLD CHURCH RD...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 918 AM EDT THU MAR 22 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0925 EDT ON MARCH 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TODAY...THEN WEAKEN AND MOVE OFFSHORE. HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE WILL DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA SATURDAY AND MOVE THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SUNDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............80 71 67 65 61 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................66 70 73 74 72 RH..................80 68 62 59 64 20 FT WIND..........SE 2 S 4 S 5 S 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 10 10 LVORI...............5 3 2 2 2 ADI.................3 23 27 27 25 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............59 55 52 47 43 42 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC S CHC PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE FOG FOG TSTM COV............CHANCE S CHC S CHC TEMP................69 64 62 59 57 56 RH..................70 87 93 100 100 100 20 FT WIND..........S 6 S 5 S 4 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 LVORI...............3 5 6 10 10 10 ADI.................22 7 4 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 4 4 4 4 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 8 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............42 41 43 46 48 47 WEATHER COV.........PATCHY S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........FOG NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP................56 58 67 74 78 79 RH..................100 96 73 62 56 54 20 FT WIND..........SW 3 W 3 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 LVORI...............10 10 3 2 2 2 ADI.................1 1 3 14 10 26 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...COLLINS REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120322.HWY58.01/MHX