FNUS74 KMRX 221950
FWSMRX

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDFIRE  WOINDROCK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
350 PM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN
REGION TONIGHT...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING WIDESPREAD
ON FRIDAY. SOME STORMS ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BECOME
SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THIS WEEKEND BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD
FRONT...BUT THEY WILL STILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...6000 FT MSL.
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..5100 FT AGL.
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....4800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION..........66.

TIME (EDT)      4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........70     70
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............79     79
RH..............44     44
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........75     75     75     88     88     88
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............75     71     68     66     64     63
RH..............52     59     65     70     75     78
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 7    S 7    SE 2   E 2    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     5      5      5

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...5000 FT MSL.
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..4100 FT AGL.
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....3800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.
DISPERSION..........66.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........94     94     94     90     90     90
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............61     65     69     72     74     73
RH..............84     73     66     59     55     57
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 2    SE 6   S 8    S 7    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     15     15     10

$$

FORECASTER...DAVID HOTZ
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN WATERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120322.WILDF.01/MRX