FNUS71 KPBZ 211932
FWSPBZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT FARM BURN...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
332 PM EDT WED MAR 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MARCH 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WARMTH WILL PERSIST AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OF UPPER OHIO
VALLEY WEATHER THROUGH THURSDAY.  THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4400-4600 FT
                    AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 4 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-5000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1900-2900 FT
                    AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3900-4000 FT
                    AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...15
REQUESTED BY...GARY KOLESAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120322.GOATF.01/PBZ