FNUS71 KPBZ 221923
FWSPBZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT FARM BURN...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
323 PM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1330 EDT ON MARCH 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN DRY JUNE-LIKE WARMTH THROUGH
FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE, MOVING SLOWLY EAST FROM OKLAHOMA, WILL BRING
SHOWERY APRIL-LIKE CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM
SKY (%).............10     10     10     10     10     0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................78     77     71     62     64     61
RH..................37     38     47     54     57     62
20 FT WIND..........SE 1   W 3    NW 3   N 2    NE 2   E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....       10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)........3700   4400   4800   4900   4200   3500
TRANSPORT WIND......E 3    NE 3   NE 3   NE 5   NE 5   E 5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0      0      10     10     0      0
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........4      5      5      5      5      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...31
REQUESTED BY...VERONICA LOPEZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120322.GOATF.03/PBZ