FNUS71 KRNK 222130
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR MAD ANN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
530 PM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1654 EDT ON MARCH 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHEAST
NORTH CAROLINA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST AND OFFSHORE
OF THE OUTER BANKS TONIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW
THIS SYSTEM TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY BEFORE ANOTHER
STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM ARRIVES FROM THE WEST FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL
THEN MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY
PROLONGING THE WET WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.
WITH STRONG HEATING AND DEEP MIXING EXPECT SCATTERED LATE DAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY. THE WEEKEND WILL BE A
WASH...FOLLOWED BY A DRYING TREND THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
NEXT BURN WINDOW SHOULD OPEN UP FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE 9 PM EDT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH
                    AFTER SUNSET.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............50     53     56     31     31     32
WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............SCTTRD
TEMP................75     68     65     61     59     57
RH..................45     60     65     68     73     77
20 FT WIND..........S 5    S 2    S 2    S 2    W 2    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     5      5      5      5      5
CWR.................30     10     10     10     10     10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDINESS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 2 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............31     35     45     52     56     65
WEATHER COV.........                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                                   S CHC
TEMP................54     53     62     69     74     78
RH..................83     89     70     57     48     42
20 FT WIND..........NW 2   NW 2   NW 2   N 3    SE 5   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      10     15
CWR.................10     10     10     10     10     20

$$
FORECASTER...MANUEL
REQUESTED BY...GWJ NF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120322.MADAN.01/RNK