FNUS71 KCTP 231632 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT FARM BURN...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1232 PM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE ONE MORE DAY OF ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH IN CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...ACCOMPANIED BY LIGHT WIND. A SLOW-MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK TO THE SOUTH OF PENNSYLVANIA OVER THE WEEKEND...BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN AND MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1400...THEN 1-8 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............47 51 53 55 59 64 WEATHER COV......... ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ ISO ISO ISO ISO TEMP................71 72 73 73 73 73 RH..................50 48 47 47 48 48 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......7 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......4.4 4.8 5.0 5.1 5.1 5.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....7 7 7 8 10 13 LAL.................1 1 2 2 2 2 HAINES INDEX........4 4 5 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 2000...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-5000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 2100-2600 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 16 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 21 TO 29 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............68 73 75 77 81 84 88 92 94 94 96 97 WEATHER COV.........ISO ISO CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ISO ISO SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH TEMP................71 68 66 65 64 63 62 61 60 59 58 57 RH..................53 58 63 66 68 71 73 75 78 81 84 88 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E E E E E E E E SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......8 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......5.0 4.8 4.6 4.1 3.6 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.2 2.6 2.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....16 18 22 23 24 25 28 29 29 26 23 21 LAL.................2 2 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. LAL.................9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-4200 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............98 99 100 99 98 97 96 94 94 94 94 95 WEATHER COV.........DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH TEMP................57 57 57 57 58 59 60 62 63 63 63 62 RH..................89 89 90 89 87 85 82 78 75 75 75 75 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S SE SE S S S S SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....20 18 18 17 15 14 13 12 9 8 7 6 LAL.................5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...VERONICA LOPEZ TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120323.GOATF.01/CTP