FNUS73 KDVN 231314
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR STRAWHACKER...PORT LOUISA NWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
814 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STORM SYSTEM IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI
TODAY AND TONIGHT. BANDS OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH TODAY
AND TONIGHT WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF I-80.
UNSEASONABLY MILD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AGAIN TO DAY AND TONIGHT
WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S AND LOWS IN THE 50S.

THE GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER INDEX -GFDI- DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR
PRECIPITATION THAT OCCURS OR ANY SNOW ON THE GROUND. PLEASE
MAKE APPROPRIATE ADJUSTMENTS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE
                    FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................69 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING NORTH AROUND MID DAY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-5100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............60     65     68     70     68
RH..............69     60     54     51     52
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 4   NE 4   NE 4   N 4    N 4
EYE LVL WND GST.
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   2500   3500   5100   1900
TRANSPORT WIND..E 2    NE 6   NE 7   E 7    NE 6
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74.
RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...PIERCE
REQUESTED BY...ERIK ACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120323.STRAW.01/DVN