FNUS72 KJAX 231113 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR BALDWIN BAY 2...FFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 713 AM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AROUND BALDWIN. AN EAST COAST SEA BREEZE MAY AFFECT THE BURN SITE BETWEEN 4 PM AND 7 PM...WHICH WOULD SHIFT WIND DIRECTION FROM SOUTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA SATURDAY...BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN ON SUNDAY WITH LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES SUNDAY AND MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 1 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....21. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT (BEST CHANCE IN MID TO LATE AFTERNOON). TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........55 60 72 74 71 60 WEATHER COV.....PATCHY S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............59 68 77 82 84 83 RH..............100 84 63 54 53 55 20 FT WIND......SE 0 SE 3 S 7 SW 12 SW 13 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 15 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1000 2600 3500 3600 3400 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 2 S 5 S 9 SW 10 SW 8 SW 5 DISPERSION INDX.1 2 6 34 27 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 20 30 40 LAL.............1 1 1 2 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2 UNTIL 0300...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-900 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....1. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. LVORI...............10. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........78 78 81 57 57 52 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............80 73 68 65 64 62 RH..............59 75 86 94 98 100 20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 5 SW 3 SW 3 SW 3 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.15 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 1700 900 400 200 100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 5 SW 5 SW 3 SW 3 SW 3 SW 2 LVORI...........10 10 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 30 30 20 LAL.............3 3 3 2 2 1 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 13 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....43. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...SHASHY REQUESTED BY...KATINA BRYANT TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120323.BALDW.01/JAX