FNUS72 KMHX 231157 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR MIREY BRANCH CROOKED RUN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 757 AM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE WILL DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH SATURDAY. A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA SATURDAY AND MOVE THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............40 41 42 42 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC TEMP................65 75 79 82 RH..................84 64 54 47 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 15 LVORI...............4 1 2 2 ADI.................4 33 20 16 HAINES INDEX........3 4 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............42 41 50 62 71 77 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP................78 69 66 64 63 62 RH..................54 76 81 87 90 93 20 FT WIND..........SW 7 S 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 5 LVORI...............1 4 4 5 6 6 ADI.................32 11 10 6 4 3 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............84 90 90 89 89 91 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY TEMP................59 61 68 74 77 77 RH..................100 97 81 66 58 58 20 FT WIND..........S 3 S 4 SW 5 S 6 S 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 LVORI...............10 9 4 3 1 1 ADI.................2 2 4 27 42 40 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...DAIL REQUESTED BY...CROATAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120323.MIREY.01/MHX