FNUS71 KPBZ 232039
FWSPBZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT FARM BURN...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
439 PM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2100 EDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE ONE MORE DAY OF JUNE LIKE
WARMTH. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM, COMING SLOWLY EAST FROM KANSAS, WILL
BRING WEEKEND SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH TEMPERATURES
MORE TYPICAL OF MAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MIN 52.
RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8
                    MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 4 UNTIL
                    0200...THEN 2 UNTIL 0300...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3900-5500
                    FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1800-3200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 17 TO 26 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0900...THEN 5 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 25 MPH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61.
RH..................MIN 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5
                    TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0800...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 17 MPH
                    LATE.

$$
FORECASTER...33
REQUESTED BY...VERONICA LOPEZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120323.GOATF.02/PBZ