FNUS71 KPBZ 232042 FWSPBZ SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT FARM BURN...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 442 PM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE ONE MORE DAY OF JUNE LIKE WARMTH. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM, COMING SLOWLY EAST FROM KANSAS, WILL BRING WEEKEND SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH TEMPERATURES MORE TYPICAL OF MAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 77. RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3000-4700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-5200 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM SKY (%).............36 44 59 74 84 90 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................73 76 75 68 62 60 RH..................49 43 40 54 67 75 20 FT WIND..........SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........3900 4700 5200 5500 5000 3900 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 12 SE 13 SE 16 SE 20 SE 22 SE 24 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 10 10 10 30 50 LAL.................1 1 1 1 3 3 HAINES INDEX........4 5 4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 4 UNTIL 0200...THEN 2 UNTIL 0300...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-5500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1800-3200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 17 TO 26 MPH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65. RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 0900...THEN 5 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 25 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...33 REQUESTED BY...VERONICA LOPEZ TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120323.GOATF.02/PBZ