FNUS71 KRNK 231606 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR MAD ANN...U. S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1206 PM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1153 EDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CLOSEST SHOWERS TO THE AREA ARE LOCATED NEAR BRISTOL TN. THESE SHOWERS ARE TRACKING NORTHWARD. SHOWER CHANCES INCREASE AFTER 300 PM THIS AFTERNOON. FIRE WEATHER FORECAST DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESIDE OVER MOST OF THE MID ATLANTIC REGION TODAY...BUT GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO INCREASING CLOUD COVER AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO PARTS OF FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA AND THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SPREAD INTO THE GREENBRIER VALLEY AND NEW RIVER VALLEYS THIS EVENING...AND INTO AREAS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE TONIGHT. STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND WITH PERIODS OF SHOWERS BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF AREAS WEST OF INTERSTATE 77...TODAY LOOKS LIKE A GOOD DAY FOR PRESCRIBED BURNING...AIDED BY LIGHT SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS AND DEEP MIXING. THE WEEKEND WILL BE A WASH...FOLLOWED BY A DRYING TREND THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. PENDING HOW FAST THINGS DRY OUT MONDAY...NEXT BURN WINDOW SHOULD OPEN UP FOR TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY WEDNESDAY. A FAST MOVING FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WEDNESDAY. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THIS FRONT FOR POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORM THREAT IN THE MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 15 MPH LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............43 53 60 71 WEATHER COV......... ISOLTD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ ISOLTD SCTTRD TEMP................68 74 79 78 RH..................64 56 41 40 20 FT WIND..........NW 1 SW 4 S 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......NW 1 SW 3 S 4 S 4 EYE LVL WND GST..... 10 15 15 CWR.................10 10 20 30 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. NUMEROUS SHOWERS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. CWR (0.01 IN).......70 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............66 93 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD TEMP................76 71 68 65 63 61 RH..................44 55 64 71 75 79 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 3 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 4 S 2 S 1 S 1 S 1 S 1 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 5 5 5 CWR.................30 40 60 60 70 70 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR (0.01 IN).......70 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............100 100 95 90 88 87 WEATHER COV.........NUMRUS LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................59 57 61 65 68 69 RH..................86 97 82 71 64 61 20 FT WIND..........S 2 S 3 W 3 W 4 S 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 1 S 2 W 2 W 3 S 4 S 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 5 10 10 CWR.................70 70 70 60 50 60 $$ FORECASTER...STONEFIELD REQUESTED BY...GWJ NF TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120323.MADAN.02/RNK