FNUS72 KJAX 241857
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALDWIN BAY 2...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
257 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1449 EDT ON MARCH 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MUCH DRIER AIR WILL ADVECT SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION FOLLOWING
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT. WITH THE COMBINATION OF LOWERING RH
VALUES INTO THE CRITICAL RANGE ACROSS PORTIONS OF FLORIDA...
GUSTY WINDS AND DISPERSION VALUES INCREASING...A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS JUST WEST OF BALDWIN.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2 UNTIL
                    0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1100 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO
                    7 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............9.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........82     72     64     59     55     52
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP............80     71     66     63     60     58
RH..............55     72     89     99     100    100
20 FT WIND......SW 12  SW 9   SW 8   SW 7   SW 6   W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3100   1800   700    100    100    100
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 18  SW 15  SW 9   SW 6   SW 6   W 7
LVORI...........9      9      9      9      9      9
LAL.............4      3      3      2      1      1

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 18 TO
                    21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....62.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........47     34     31     30     30     29
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     56     66     73     78     79
RH..............100    99     69     50     40     37
20 FT WIND......W 6    W 6    W 10   W 14   W 15   W 16
20 FT WIND GUST.                     20     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....100    200    2100   3800   5000   5400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6    W 6    W 14   W 20   W 21   NW 20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...TRABERT
REQUESTED BY...WENDY RODGERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120324.BALDW.02/JAX