FNUS73 KTOP 240924
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST FOR DYER RX 2012...STATE/FEDERAL OFFICIAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
424 AM CDT SAT MAR 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON MARCH 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY. EXPECT THEM TO REMAIN
RATHER LIGHT...BUT A GUST OR TWO OF UP TO 10 MPH WOULD BE POSSIBLE AT
PEAK HEATING TODAY. SKIES SHOULD REMAIN CLEAR AND TEMPS WILL BE A BIT
WARMER THAN YESTERDAY...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW RH VALUES TO DIP TO AROUND
40 LATE THIS AFTERNOON. FAIRLY DEEP MIXING SHOULD ALLOW SMOKE TO RISE
TO AROUND 4500 FEET...BUT TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MEAGER SO OVERALL
SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE FAIR.

SUNDAY WILL BRING ANOTHER WARM AND SUNNY DAY. PERHAPS SOME FOG MAY
FORM EARLY IN THE MORNING...BUT SHOULD DISSIPATE COMPLETELY SHORTLY
AFTER SUNRISE. WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE
DAY...BUT MAY PICK UP FROM THE SOUTH TO 5 TO 10 MPH LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON. SIMILAR MIXING HEIGHT IS EXPECTED SUNDAY...BUT TRANSPORT
WINDS MAY BE A BIT STRONGER...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR BETTER SMOKE
DISPERSAL.

JL

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 77.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /16600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.MAX...FAIR
                    /23400 KNOT-FT/.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.
RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN...POOR /600 KNOT-FT/.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX...GOOD /44300 KNOT-FT/.

$$
FORECASTER...LEIGHTON
REQUESTED BY...KS FOREST SVC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120324.DYERR.01/TOP