FNUS75 KGJT 251837
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DOYLEVILLE FIRE...COLORADO STATE FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1237 PM MDT SUN MAR 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1204 MDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
COLORADO IS IN BETWEEN WARM HIGH PRESSURE AND A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST.  SOUTHWEST GRADIENT FLOW EXISTS THIS
AFTERNOON FOR LOCAL GUSTY WINDS.  THE LOCATION OF THE WILDFIRE IS
WIND SHELTERED...BUT EXPECT STRONG MIXING LATE THIS AFTERNOON FROM
1400 TO 1800 FOR PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS.  THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
MOVES INLAND TONIGHT AND WILL BRING A COLD INTO WESTERN COLORADO AROUND
1200 ON MONDAY.  AS THIS COLD FRONT MOVES INTO WESTERN COLORADO...STRONG
GUSTY WINDS WILL INCREASE...BUT GRADUALLY TAPER OFF LATE IN THE DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......OCCASIONAL SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    15 MPH FROM 1400 TO 1800.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 13500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 30 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-32 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 13 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.                    MPH
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR (17500-20000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 26 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-54 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 30 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 40 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...PAUL FRISBIE
REQUESTED BY...SAM PANKRATZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120325.DOYLE.01/GJT