FNUS72 KJAX 251240
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALDWIN BAY 2...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
840 AM EDT SUN MAR 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0827 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
EDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...DRIER AIR FOLLOWING A COLD FRONT WILL BRING MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES AND LOWER HUMIDITY. WITH THE COMBINATION OF LOWERING
RH VALUES INTO THE CRITICAL RANGE..GUSTY WINDS AND DISPERSION
VALUES INCREASING...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-5500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 24 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....70.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........16     11     10     8      10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............65     73     77     79     79
RH..............73     50     39     35     36
20 FT WIND......W 10   W 13   W 16   W 17   W 16
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     25     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....1900   4100   5000   5500   5500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14   W 23   W 24   W 22   W 21

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........10     12     12     13     13     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............76     69     63     59     56     54
RH..............39     52     65     79     91     94
20 FT WIND......W 14   W 8    W 8    W 7    W 6    NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....5000   3500   2300   1300   600    400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 20   NW 18  NW 17  NW 13  W 8    NW 5
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300-4600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.

$$
FORECASTER...TRABERT
REQUESTED BY...WENDY RODGERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120325.BALDW.01/JAX