FNUS72 KMFL 251328 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR BAKER GRADE...BIG CYPRESS NP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 928 AM EDT SUN MAR 25 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0854 EDT ON MARCH 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM IMMOKALEE TO NAPLES. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO FORM AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ANYWHERE IN SOUTH FLORIDA. ONCE THE FRONT CLEARS THE AREA BY LATE THIS EVENING COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL FILTER IN FROM THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT. ALTHOUGH WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONGEST SHOWERS... WINDS TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 5 MPH FROM THE NORTHWEST. FOG FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED SINCE DRIER AIR WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT. THIS DOES NOT MEAN THAT A RAIN COOLED AREA COULD OBSERVE VERY BRIEF SHALLOW PATCHY FOG NO MORE THAN A FEW FEET FROM THE GROUND FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. HOWEVER...THIS IS VERY UNLIKELY CONSIDERING THAT THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE 5 MPH. DISPERSION WILL BE POOR TONIGHT BETWEEN 0 AND 2 IN EASTERN COLLIER COUNTY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 80. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 60 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2 UNTIL 1700...THEN 1. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 9 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15 TO 18 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 54. LVORI...............5. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........90 90 86 75 75 49 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP............76 77 77 79 80 78 RH..............89 70 69 62 61 64 20 FT WIND......S 3 SW 6 SW 6 W 10 W 10 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.5 15 15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 4000 4000 4000 4000 4000 MIXNG WIND......S 6 SW 13 SW 13 W 18 W 18 W 15 DISPERSION IDX..11 34 34 50 57 57 LVORI...........5 5 5 5 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 LAL.............1 2 2 2 2 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLEAR. ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 60. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 87 PERCENT. LAL.................1. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....57 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............5. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 83. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 37 PERCENT. LAL.................1. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 48. LVORI...............3. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...ESTUPINAN REQUESTED BY...MIKE OLEARY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120325.BAKER.01/MFL