FNUS72 KMFL 252009
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAKER GRADE...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
409 PM EDT SUN MAR 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1551 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO SOUTH FLORIDA THIS EVENING AND MOVE
OVER THE BAKER GRADE FIRE SITE AROUND MIDNIGHT. IT APPEARS AT THIS
TIME THAT ALL CHANCES OF RAIN HAVE ENDED OR WILL BE WELL TO THE EAST
OF THE FIRE IF RAINFALL OCCURS. THE MAIN THING IS THAT THE CURRENT
WIND OUT OF THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20+ MPH
THROUGH 800 PM. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 10 MPH THEN SHIFT TO
THE NORTHWEST AROUND MIDNIGHT AS THE FRONT PASSES. WINDS WILL DECREASE
TO 3 TO 5 MPH AND PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE THAT
THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL MOVE RESIDUAL SMOKE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
ACROSS ALLIGATOR ALLEY. IF ANY FOG OCCURS, AND IT IS NOT EXPECTED, IT
WILL BE SHALLOW IN DEPTH AND VERY PATCHY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLEAR. ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 93 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-700 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....57 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........50     29     22     12     5      5
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............78     71     69     66     63     61
RH..............64     76     78     81     87     90
20 FT WIND......W 8    W 6    W 6    W 5    NW 4   NW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   700    700    700    500    500
MIXNG WIND......W 15   W 12   W 12   W 9    NW 7   NW 7
DISPERSION IDX..57     8      8      6      3      3
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 37 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 43.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS
REQUESTED BY...LIEUTENANT DARREN SAPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120325.BAKER.02/MFL