FNUS71 KBGM 271300 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR FLRX12...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY 900 AM EDT TUE MAR 27 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MINIMUM DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS FORECAST TO BE VERY LOW IN THE 10 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE TODAY. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DIMINISH BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AS HUMIDITY VALUES REACH THEIR MINIMUM LEVELS. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 21 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE. DEWPOINT............8. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT. SURFACE WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............1 3 7 9 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................30 34 38 40 DEWPOINT............7 7 7 8 RH..................37 32 27 26 20 FT WIND..........NW 5 NW 5 N 4 N 2 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......NW 4 NW 4 N 3 N 2 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 SURFACE WIND........NW 6 NW 6 N 5 N 3 SURFACE WND GST..... 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........2300 2300 2800 1900 TRANSPORT WIND......N 14 N 14 NW 9 SW 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35. MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 26 TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. DEWPOINT............12...INCREASING TO 27. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............15 31 64 67 41 63 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................40 36 35 36 36 37 DEWPOINT............10 12 16 19 21 25 RH..................28 36 45 50 54 61 20 FT WIND..........NE 2 SE 2 S 3 S 5 S 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......NE 2 SE 2 S 2 S 4 S 5 S 5 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 SURFACE WIND........NE 3 SE 3 S 4 S 6 S 8 S 9 SURFACE WND GST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........1900 300 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7 SW 12 SW 12 SW 26 SW 35 SW 35 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 10 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 5 5 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-4300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35 TO 37 MPH. DEWPOINT............31...INCREASING TO 42. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH. SURFACE WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............77 97 85 66 51 56 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................38 39 47 55 60 61 DEWPOINT............29 33 37 40 42 43 RH..................70 79 68 57 51 51 20 FT WIND..........S 7 S 8 SW 10 SW 10 W 10 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 20 25 25 20 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 5 S 6 SW 7 SW 8 W 8 W 7 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 15 20 25 25 20 SURFACE WIND........S 9 S 10 SW 12 SW 13 W 13 W 12 SURFACE WND GST.....10 15 20 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)........300 800 800 1400 4000 4000 TRANSPORT WIND......W 35 W 36 W 36 W 36 W 37 W 37 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 20 40 40 30 20 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...BRADY REQUESTED BY...DAVE DISANTO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120326.FLRX1.01/BGM