FNUS75 KBOU 262115 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR CABRINI FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 315 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE WEST BY 5 PM. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY 8 PM AND BECOME MORE SOUTHWEST. OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY WILL ONLY RECOVER TO 25%. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....41. MAX HUMIDITY........25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20-28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH UNTIL 1700...THEN WEST 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32-48 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 3200-4200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. FAIR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60. MIN HUMIDITY........12%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 8400-9400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0700...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....41. MAX HUMIDITY........36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5-13 MPH UNTIL 2100. NORTHWEST 5-12 MPH AFTER 0300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTH AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65. MIN HUMIDITY........13%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 8800-9800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CABRINI FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/26-15 43 2 0 65 11 SW29 46 3 1 SW84 9302 SW56 459340 E 03/26-16 43 2 0 65 10 SW29 47 3 1 SW74 8213 SW54 388443 E 03/26-17 43 2 0 63 11 W29 46 3 1 SW64 7124 SW51 317546 E 03/26-18 23 1 0 60 12 W28 44 3 1 SW58 6035 SW47 246650 E 03/26-19 23 1 0 59 13 W24 38 4 1 SW56 5266 W44 205462 E 03/26-20 23 1 0 55 15 W20 31 4 1 SW58 4496 W41 164274 E 03/26-21 23 1 0 51 17 W15 24 5 1 SW60 3727 W38 123086 V 03/26-22 23 1 0 49 18 W12 20 5 1 SW60 3477 W35 105921 V 03/26-23 23 1 0 47 19 SW 9 15 4 1 W60 3227 W31 88757 G 03/27-00 17 0 0 46 19 SW 8 13 4 1 W60 2977 W28 71592 G 03/27-01 17 0 0 45 20 SW 7 7 4 1 W58 3030 W25 67281 G 03/27-02 17 0 0 44 22 SW 6 6 3 1 W55 3084 W23 62971 G 03/27-03 17 0 0 43 23 SW 6 6 3 1 W53 3138 W22 58660 F 03/27-04 17 0 0 43 24 SW 6 6 3 1 W53 3309 W20 57104 F 03/27-05 17 0 0 43 25 S 7 7 3 1 W53 3481 W18 55548 F 03/27-06 5 0 0 43 25 S 7 7 3 1 W54 3653 W17 53992 F 03/27-07 5 0 0 43 25 S 7 7 3 1 W53 3972 W17 60339 G 03/27-08 5 0 0 45 23 S 8 13 3 1 W53 4291 W17 66686 G 03/27-09 5 0 0 47 21 S 8 13 3 1 W52 4610 W18 73034 G 03/27-10 5 0 0 50 18 S 7 7 3 1 W51 5553 W21 105025 V 03/27-11 5 0 0 53 17 SE 7 7 2 1 W51 6497 W23 137017 V 03/27-12 23 0 0 55 15 SE 6 6 2 1 W51 7440 W26 169009 E 03/27-13 23 0 0 57 14 SE 6 6 2 1 W51 8201 W25 177612 E 03/27-14 23 0 0 58 13 SE 6 6 2 1 W51 8961 W24 186216 E 03/27-15 23 0 0 59 12 E 6 6 2 1 W51 9722 W23 194820 E 03/27-16 23 0 0 59 12 E 7 7 2 1 W48 8928 SW18 151128 E 03/27-17 23 0 0 58 12 E 8 14 3 1 SW45 8133 SW14 107435 V 03/27-18 10 0 0 55 14 E 9 15 3 1 SW43 7339 SW10 63743 G 03/27-19 10 0 0 54 15 E 8 13 3 1 SW41 5445 S 8 45227 F 03/27-20 10 0 0 51 18 SE 6 6 3 1 SW40 3551 S 7 26712 P 03/27-21 10 0 0 48 21 S 3 3 3 1 SW40 1656 SE 6 8196 P 03/27-22 10 0 0 46 24 S 5 5 3 1 SW38 1293 SE 6 6270 P 03/27-23 10 0 0 45 27 S 6 6 3 1 SW37 931 SE 5 4345 P 03/28-00 0 0 0 44 28 S 7 7 3 1 SW36 568 SE 5 2419 P 03/28-01 0 0 0 43 29 SW 7 7 3 1 W35 501 E 5 1895 P 03/28-02 0 0 0 42 30 NW 6 6 3 1 W33 434 NE 3 1370 P 03/28-03 0 0 0 42 30 NW 6 6 3 1 W32 367 N 2 846 P 03/28-04 0 0 0 42 32 NW 7 7 3 1 W31 417 NW 3 1429 P 03/28-05 0 0 0 42 34 W 8 8 3 1 W30 466 W 5 2012 P 03/28-06 15 0 0 42 35 W 8 13 3 1 W30 516 W 6 2596 P 03/28-07 15 0 0 42 36 W 7 7 3 1 W30 861 W 6 3689 P 03/28-08 15 0 0 45 33 SW 6 6 2 1 W31 1206 SW 5 4783 P 03/28-09 15 0 0 48 29 SW 5 5 2 1 W31 1551 SW 5 5877 P 03/28-10 15 0 0 52 26 S 6 6 2 1 W31 3706 SW 7 33982 P 03/28-11 15 0 0 56 23 S 7 7 2 1 W30 5862 SW10 62087 G 03/28-12 23 2 0 59 20 SE 8 13 2 1 W30 8017 SW13 90191 G 03/28-13 23 2 0 61 17 SE 9 15 2 1 W31 8910 SW14 113094 V 03/28-14 23 2 0 63 15 SE10 16 3 1 W33 9802 SW16 135996 V 03/28-15 23 2 0 64 13 SE10 16 3 1 W35 10694 SW17 158899 E 03/28-16 23 2 0 64 13 SE 9 16 3 1 SW33 9673 SW15 126071 V 03/28-17 23 2 0 62 14 E 8 14 3 1 SW32 8651 SW12 93243 G 03/28-18 16 3 1 60 15 E 7 7 3 1 SW30 7630 SW 9 60414 G 03/28-19 16 3 1 58 17 E 5 5 3 1 SW28 5226 S 7 40644 F 03/28-20 16 3 1 56 19 N 3 3 3 1 SW26 2822 E 5 20873 P 03/28-21 16 3 1 52 22 N 2 2 3 1 SW25 418 NE 3 1102 P 03/28-22 16 3 1 50 23 NW 3 3 3 1 SW25 363 N 5 1195 P 03/28-23 16 3 1 48 24 W 5 5 4 1 SW26 308 W 6 1287 P 03/29-00 11 3 1 47 24 W 7 7 4 1 SW28 253 W 6 1380 P 03/29-01 11 3 1 46 25 W 9 14 4 1 SW29 251 W 8 1783 P 03/29-02 11 3 1 45 25 W10 16 5 1 SW30 249 W10 2187 P 03/29-03 11 3 1 45 26 W12 18 5 1 SW31 246 W13 2591 P 03/29-04 11 3 1 44 28 W12 18 5 1 SW32 286 W12 3004 P 03/29-05 11 3 1 44 29 W12 18 4 1 SW32 327 W12 3417 P 03/29-06 16 4 1 45 29 W10 16 4 1 SW31 367 W12 3831 P 03/29-07 16 4 1 45 29 W 9 15 4 1 SW29 1088 W13 11673 P 03/29-08 16 4 1 47 27 W 8 14 4 1 SW26 1810 W13 19514 P 03/29-09 16 4 1 50 24 W 7 7 4 1 SW24 2532 W13 27356 P 03/29-10 16 4 1 53 21 SW 5 5 4 1 SW25 5392 W14 74476 G 03/29-11 16 4 1 56 18 S 3 3 3 1 W26 8253 W16 121596 V 03/29-12 22 5 1 59 16 SE 2 2 3 1 W28 11114 W17 168716 E 03/29-13 22 5 1 61 15 E 3 3 3 1 W28 12251 W16 173903 E 03/29-14 22 5 1 62 14 E 5 5 3 1 W29 13387 W16 179091 E 03/29-15 22 5 1 63 14 E 6 6 3 1 W28 14524 W15 184279 E 03/29-16 22 5 1 62 14 E 5 5 3 1 W26 13083 W13 152424 E 03/29-17 22 5 1 61 14 N 3 3 3 1 W25 11642 W12 120568 V 03/29-18 27 6 1 59 16 NW 2 2 3 1 W23 10201 W10 88713 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ROCCO SNART REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120326.CABRI.01/BOU