FNUS73 KDLH 261723
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEVILS TRACK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1223 PM CDT MON MAR 26 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MARCH 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...PERSISTENT EAST WINDS OFF THE LAKE WILL ALLOW LAKE
INDUCED CLOUDS TO REMAIN OVER THE PRESCRIBED BURN SITE MOST OF
THIS AFTERNOON. COULD SEE A COUPLE HOUR-WINDOW LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WHERE THE LOW CLOUDS CLEAR OUT BEFORE
ADDITIONAL HIGH CLOUDS MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. CONDITIONS REMAIN
DRY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING BEFORE A BAND OF
PRECIPITATION MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST BY MID TO LATE EVENING.
THERE IS RELATIVELY HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT THE PRECIP WILL BE IN THE
FORM OF FREEZING RAIN AROUND THE PRESCRIBED BURN SITE. WITH THE
COLD SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAINING THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT AND A
WARM BUBBLE OF AIR ALOFT...CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
ACCUMULATING FREEZING RAIN. UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF FREEZING
RAIN ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE. A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FROM 10 PM TONIGHT UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS
WILL ALSO BE OF CONCERN TONIGHT. EAST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND INTENSIFY...WITH GUSTS UP TO AND
EXCEEDING 30 MPH. WINDS SLOWLY VEER TO THE SOUTH BY TOMORROW
MORNING AND DIMINISH SLIGHTLY IN MAGNITUDE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE
                    LATE AFTERNOON BRIEFLY...BEFORE BECOMING CLOUDY
                    IN THE EARLY EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-35.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH...THEN INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 13 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL IN THE
                    MID AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (49200) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON THEN DECREASING
                    TO GOOD (46100) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............33     34     34
RH..............58     44     51
20 FT WIND DIR..E      E      E
20 FT WIND SPD..12     14     14
20 FT WIND GUST.22     25     26

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT
                    FREEZING RAIN LATE IN THE EVENING. RAIN LIKELY
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LATE. CHANCE
                    OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 16 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2150 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (36600) DECREASING TO GOOD (33700) LATE IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO GOOD (58600)
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............33     32     33     34     33     29
RH..............59     61     68     72     80     94
20 FT WIND DIR..E      E      E      SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..14     15     15     15     15     15
20 FT WIND GUST.25     28     28     28     28     28

$$
FORECASTER...BRIAN
REQUESTED BY...RYAN KINGSLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120326.DEVIL.01/DLH