FNUS74 KLIX 261227 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR CPT G-06...U.S. FWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 727 AM CDT MON MAR 26 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. THE HIGH WILL WEAKEN ON FRIDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER TEXAS MOVES INTO THE REGION. THIS LOW WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY NEXT WEEKEND. 1. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY MODERATE FOG AROUND SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING. BEST ESTIMATE OF TIME WOULD BE BETWEEN 5 AND 8 AM. 2. WIND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OR CALM IN THE AREA OVERNIGHT...GENERALLY BY 8 PM...AND NOT INCREASE ABOVE 5 MPH UNTIL ABOUT 9 AM ON TUESDAY. 3. WINDS MAY BE BRIEFLY OUT OF THE NORTH AT IGNITION TIME...BECOMING NORTHEAST BY MID MORNING. SEA BREEZE IS FORECAST TO KICK IN BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THERE IS AT LEAST SOME POTENTIAL WINDS COULD BECOME SOUTH FOR A FEW HOURS...MOST LIKELY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. PERSISTANT SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL OCCUR STARTING LATE MORNING ON TUESDAY. 4. SURFACE WIND IS FORECAST TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST DUE TO A SEA BREEZE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS OCCURS IN A VERY SHALLOW LAYER AT THE SURFACE. USUALLY THIS LAYER IS NOT MUCH MORE THAN 500 TO 1000 FEET DEEP. TRANSPORT WINDS OCCUR ABOVE THIS LAYER. NOTE THAT TRANSPORT WIND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME VERY LIGHT THIS AFTERNOON...AND IS ALSO EXPECTED TO TURN TO A SOUTHERLY COMPONENT FOR A PERIOD THIS EVENING. 5. A SEA BREEZE WOULD PRODUCE WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH FOR THE BURN AREA. 6. SMALL CHANCES OF RAIN...AROUND 30 PERCENT...ARE IN THE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WOULD GENERALLY BE ONE QUARTER INCH OR LESS. BEYOND THAT TIME...THERE IS TOO MUCH SPREAD IN MODEL SOLUTIONS TO PROVIDE A HIGH CONFIDENCE FORECAST WITH RESPECT TO RAIN AMOUNTS. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............60 61 67 71 74 76 78 79 80 80 79 77 RH..............92 90 84 75 68 62 55 52 50 50 55 60 20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE E E E SE SE S S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.2 0.2 4.0 4.0 4.0 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.4 6.4 6.4 MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.12 5 5 7 7 7 7 3 3 3 2 2 TRANS SPD (M/S).5 2 2 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 DISPERSION......5 2 2 3 33 33 33 24 16 16 16 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............75 72 69 67 65 64 63 62 62 61 61 60 RH..............60 68 75 81 87 88 90 89 91 89 90 94 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SE E NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...6.4 1.6 1.6 1.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 MIX HGT (KM)....2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.N SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W N N TRANSP WIND SPD.2 6 6 6 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 TRANS SPD (M/S).1 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 DISPERSION......16 12 12 12 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........3 11 11 11 19 19 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............59 64 74 79 80 79 RH..............96 84 66 54 50 52 20 FT WIND......E 1 E 2 E 5 SE 7 SE 9 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 15 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....300 200 5600 5600 7100 6600 MIX HGT (M).....90 60 1710 1710 2160 2010 TRANSPORT WIND..N 2 N 3 SE 12 SE 12 SE 13 S 13 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 1 N 1 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 S 6 DISPERSION......1 2 5 50 44 43 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SAUCIER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120326.CPTG0.01/LIX