FNUS73 KLSX 271258
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHIRLEY RIDGE BURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
758 AM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
INCREASING SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH
THIS AFTERNOON.  DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT THERE WILL BE
A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 81.
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SUSTAINED SOUTH WIND 3 TO 4 MPH...WITH SOME
                    GUSTINESS THIS AFTERNOON.  ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WIND 9 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...5000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY GOOD (20456 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WIND 2 TO 3 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 8 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79.
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WEST WIND 2 TO 3 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........WEST WIND 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON
                    BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (7698 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TRUETT
REQUESTED BY... CHRIS WOODS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120326.BARZS.01/LSX