FNUS73 KLSX 261306
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR QUAIL RIDGE PARK...ST. CHARLES COUNTY PARKS AND RECREATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
806 AM CDT MON MAR 26 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME
SOUTHERLY BY TUESDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GUST TO AROUND 20
MPH ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL BRING
A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....EAST-SOUTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH...ADJUSTMENT
                    FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........WINDS EAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND DURING MID MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...5500 FT AGL
                    AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (9458 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHEAST WIND 3 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81.
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND 3 TO 4 MPH WITH GUSTINESS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 11 TO 13 MPH UNTIL LATE MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 13 TO 14 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 32 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (23802 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TRUETT
REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE SUPERVISOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120326.QUAIL.01/LSX