FNUS73 KPAH 261340 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR HANDY UNIT H...MTNF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 840 AM CDT MON MAR 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST...REACHING THE CAROLINA COAST BY TUESDAY EVENING. AS THE HIGH REACHES THE COAST...WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST ACROSS OUR REGION ON TUESDAY. THE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING WARMER AIR IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS MISSOURI TUESDAY NIGHT...THEN SLOW DOWN AS IT CROSSES THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. BEHIND THE FRONT...SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE FOR THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 76. RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2800-4500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4900-6200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............66 69 71 73 74 76 74 73 RH..............65 59 53 48 44 42 41 55 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 4.9 5.2 5.8 6.2 5.8 4.2 2.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 7 7 7 8 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 4 4 4 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55. RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............71 66 63 61 59 57 RH..............59 68 75 78 80 83 20 FT WIND......SE 3 SE 4 SE 4 SE 3 SE 4 SE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 BLW100 300 300 300 200 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 SE 7 SE 8 SE 7 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80. RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............57 67 75 79 RH..............80 61 50 42 20 FT WIND......SE 3G5 S 6G10 S 6G10 S 7G20 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1100 3700 3900 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 7 S 15 S 17 S 20 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...BLANCHARD REQUESTED BY...YEOMAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120326.HANDY.01/PAH