FNUS75 KBOU 272001 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER NORTH FORK WF...JEFFCO IMT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 200 PM MDT TUE MAR 27 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...UPSLOPE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE FIRE SITE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH HUMIDITY REMAINING LOW. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE EVENING HOURS AS DOWNSLOPE WINDS DEVELOP. HUMIDITY READINGS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE THIS EVENING...HOWEVER HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TO BE POOR OVERNIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY...SOUTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY READINGS. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INTO THE WEEKEND. WINDS COULD INCREASE AGAIN SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES TOWARD COLORADO. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-68. MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8800-9800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN...ZERO. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-43. MAX HUMIDITY........38-43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-13 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST 7-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN...ZERO. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73. MIN HUMIDITY........5-10%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO 10600-11600 FT AGL BY 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN...ZERO. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LOWER NORTH FORK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/27-13 23 0 0 62 13 SE 3 3 2 1 W40 8601 W18 136085 V 03/27-14 23 0 0 64 12 NE 3 3 2 1 W39 9763 SW17 148258 V 03/27-15 23 0 0 65 11 NE 3 3 2 1 W37 10925 SW17 160431 E 03/27-16 23 0 0 65 12 NE 6 6 2 1 W36 9494 SW15 130197 V 03/27-17 23 0 0 63 14 E 8 13 2 1 SW33 8064 SW14 99963 G 03/27-18 20 0 0 60 16 E 9 15 2 1 SW32 6633 SW13 69729 G 03/27-19 20 0 0 58 18 SE 8 13 2 1 SW32 4523 SW 9 46707 F 03/27-20 20 0 0 54 22 SW 6 6 2 1 SW32 2413 SW 6 23686 P 03/27-21 20 0 0 49 27 W 5 5 2 1 SW32 303 SW 2 664 P 03/27-22 20 0 0 46 32 W 6 6 2 1 SW32 271 W 5 888 P 03/27-23 20 0 0 44 36 W 8 14 2 1 W32 239 W 6 1113 P 03/28-00 0 0 0 42 40 W10 16 2 1 W33 208 W 7 1337 P 03/28-01 0 0 0 41 44 W10 17 2 1 W33 192 W 8 1316 P 03/28-02 0 0 0 40 48 W10 16 3 1 W35 176 W 8 1294 P 03/28-03 0 0 0 39 50 W 9 15 3 1 W35 160 W 9 1273 P 03/28-04 0 0 0 38 51 W 9 15 3 1 W35 159 W 9 1290 P 03/28-05 0 0 0 38 50 W 9 15 3 1 W35 158 W 9 1306 P 03/28-06 20 0 0 39 48 W 9 15 3 1 W35 157 W 9 1323 P 03/28-07 20 0 0 40 47 W 9 15 3 1 W33 278 W10 2386 P 03/28-08 20 0 0 43 41 SW 9 15 3 1 W32 400 SW10 3450 P 03/28-09 20 0 0 48 33 SW 9 15 3 1 W31 522 SW10 4513 P 03/28-10 20 0 0 54 25 SW10 16 3 1 W30 3320 SW13 45288 F 03/28-11 20 0 0 59 19 SW10 17 2 1 W30 6119 SW14 86063 G 03/28-12 24 2 0 64 15 SW12 18 2 1 W29 8917 SW16 126838 V 03/28-13 24 2 0 67 12 SW12 18 2 1 W30 10031 SW17 156321 E 03/28-14 24 2 0 69 11 SW10 17 2 1 W30 11144 SW18 185804 E 03/28-15 24 2 0 71 10 S10 16 2 1 W30 12258 SW21 215288 E 03/28-16 24 2 0 70 10 S12 18 2 1 W30 11103 SW20 193415 E 03/28-17 24 2 0 69 10 SW13 20 2 1 W29 9948 SW20 171542 E 03/28-18 15 3 1 70 10 SW13 21 2 1 W28 7189 SW16 100752 V 03/28-19 15 3 1 66 12 SW10 16 2 1 W26 4908 SW13 67743 G 03/28-20 15 3 1 63 14 S 7 7 3 1 SW25 2627 SW 9 34735 P 03/28-21 15 3 1 60 16 S 5 5 3 1 SW24 346 W 6 1727 P 03/28-22 15 3 1 57 18 SW 5 5 3 1 SW24 311 W 7 1890 P 03/28-23 15 3 1 55 21 SW 6 6 4 1 SW25 277 W 9 2053 P 03/29-00 10 3 1 54 22 SW 7 7 4 1 SW26 243 W10 2217 P 03/29-01 10 3 1 52 26 SW 7 7 4 1 SW29 234 W10 2174 P 03/29-02 10 3 1 51 29 SW 7 7 4 1 SW30 225 W10 2132 P 03/29-03 10 3 1 51 31 W 7 7 4 1 SW31 217 W12 2089 P 03/29-04 10 3 1 50 31 W 7 7 4 1 SW32 247 W10 2262 P 03/29-05 10 3 1 49 31 W 6 6 4 1 W32 278 W10 2435 P 03/29-06 14 3 1 49 30 W 6 6 4 1 W31 308 W 9 2607 P 03/29-07 14 3 1 48 31 W 6 6 4 1 W29 1280 W 8 7679 P 03/29-08 14 3 1 40 43 W 6 6 3 1 W25 2252 W 8 12750 P 03/29-09 14 3 1 51 28 W 5 5 3 1 W23 3224 W 7 17821 P 03/29-10 14 3 1 57 22 SW 3 3 3 1 W23 5924 W 9 58158 F 03/29-11 14 3 1 64 16 CALM 1 2 1 W24 8624 W12 98496 G 03/29-12 24 3 1 66 14 CALM 0 2 1 W25 11324 W14 138833 V 03/29-13 24 3 1 68 12 CALM 0 2 1 W25 12563 W14 156635 E 03/29-14 24 3 1 69 12 CALM 1 3 1 W24 13803 W15 174436 E 03/29-15 24 3 1 69 11 E 2 2 3 1 W23 15043 W15 192237 E 03/29-16 24 3 1 69 11 E 2 2 3 1 W22 13561 W13 153174 E 03/29-17 24 3 1 69 11 N 2 2 3 1 W20 12079 SW10 114111 V 03/29-18 26 3 1 67 12 NW 2 2 3 1 W18 10597 SW 8 75047 G 03/29-19 26 3 1 63 16 NW 2 2 1 03/29-20 26 3 1 60 20 NW 3 3 1 03/29-21 26 3 1 57 24 NW 3 3 1 03/29-22 26 3 1 54 27 W 3 3 1 03/29-23 26 3 1 52 30 W 5 5 1 03/30-00 18 3 1 51 31 SW 5 5 1 03/30-01 18 3 1 49 35 SW 5 5 1 03/30-02 18 3 1 48 36 SW 6 6 1 03/30-03 18 3 1 48 36 SW 6 6 1 03/30-04 18 3 1 47 37 SW 6 6 1 03/30-05 18 3 1 46 39 W 7 7 1 03/30-06 39 2 0 46 40 W 7 7 1 03/30-07 39 2 0 45 40 W 7 7 1 03/30-08 39 2 0 38 54 W 6 6 1 03/30-09 39 2 0 50 33 W 5 5 1 03/30-10 39 2 0 57 26 W 3 3 1 03/30-11 39 2 0 64 20 W 3 3 1 03/30-12 24 4 1 67 17 W 2 2 1 03/30-13 24 4 1 70 16 W 2 2 1 03/30-14 24 4 1 70 15 W 2 2 1 03/30-15 24 4 1 70 14 W 2 2 1 03/30-16 24 4 1 71 14 W 2 2 1 03/30-17 24 4 1 70 14 NW 3 3 1 03/30-18 20 3 1 68 14 NW 3 3 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PISCOPO SITL T REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120327.LOWER.01/BOU