FNUS75 KCYS 271231
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD MTN...USFS MBF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
631 AM MDT TUE MAR 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON MARCH 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY AND BREEZY AT THE BURN SITE FOR BOTH
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. WIND SPEEDS BELOW ARE FOR MORE EXPOSED
AREAS THERE NEAR BALD MOUNTAIN. LOWER VALLEY LOCATIONS WEST OF THE
BURN SITE WILL BE MORE PROTECTED...ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY MORNING
AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT WILL TURN WEST DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. SKIES WILL BECOME
PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY AS A RESULT...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY
CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54 TO 58 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 TO 23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (67800-212100 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32 TO 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........45 TO 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
                    UNTIL 0300...THEN BECOMING WEST.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST/SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT BECOMING POOR (5500-93200 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51 TO 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 TO 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (77400-157500 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...HAHN
REQUESTED BY...DARON REYNOLDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120327.BALDM.03/CYS