FNUS73 KDMX 271018 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR BUDKE...IOWA DNR WILDLIFE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 518 AM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MARCH 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... STRONG WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY MIDDAY BEHIND AN ADVANCING TROUGH AXIS. THESE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH. AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON GIVEN THE STRONG WINDS AND RELATIVELY HUMIDITY LEVELS DROPPING TO AROUND 30 PERCENT BY THE MIDDLE OF THE AFTERNOON. ANY THREAT FOR PRECIPITATION WILL END BY MIDDAY WITH SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 75. RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BREEZY. WEST WINDS 20 TO 29 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 26 TO 35 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (12800-24800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (56300-184000 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 28 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE BREEZY. WEST WINDS 20 TO 29 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........34 31 24 20 17 11 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............68 70 72 73 73 71 RH..............49 42 35 31 30 32 20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..28 29 29 29 26 23 20 FT WIND GUST.40 40 40 40 35 30 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW W W W W W EYE LVL WND SPD.20 21 21 21 18 16 EYE LVL WND GST.40 40 40 40 35 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 4.4 5.2 6.1 4.2 2.2 MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W MIXNG WIND SPD..33 35 35 35 32 29 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 21 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1400-5500 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 10 PM 1 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........8 10 12 12 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............67 59 54 49 RH..............36 49 61 71 20 FT WIND......W 18G25 W 13G15 W 13G15 W 12G15 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 13G25 W 9G15 W 9G15 W 9G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......W 25 W 12 W 12 W 7 HAINES INDEX....5 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...COGIL REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN CLARK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120327.BUDKE.01/DMX