FNUS75 KGJT 271016
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE CANYON...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
416 AM MDT TUE MAR 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MARCH 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BE SETTING UP ACROSS EASTERN UTAH TODAY
BEHIND THE SYSTEM WHICH BROUGHT THE STRONG WINDS TO REGION YESTERDAY.
WINDS WILL BE MUCH MORE RELAXED TODAY THOUGH WITH MIXING IN THE
AFTERNOON...SOME GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH MAY BE POSSIBLE. THIS MIXING
WILL ALSO HELP PUSH SMOKE DISPERSAL INTO THE GOOD CATEGORY.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN ABOVE NORMAL WHICH SHOULD
DROP RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS INTO THE TEENS BY MID AFTERNOON.
A WARMER AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE TOMORROW LEADING TO STRONGER MIXING
AND AN INCREASE IN SOUTHWEST WINDS. WINDS MAY GUST NEAR 25 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DROP INTO THE LOWER
TEENS. CLEARING INDEX VALUES WILL REACH 1050 BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS FOR EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 66 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS THROUGH MID MORNING THEN
                    WINDS WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 7 TO 12 MPH THIS
                    AFTERNOON WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH MID MORNING THEN BECOMING GOOD BY
                    MID AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......500 AROUND NOON...INCREASING TO 750 BY MID
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL IN THE INCREASING TO 7800 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH THROUGH NOON THEN INCREASING TO
                    13 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 72 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING TO 1050.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 10100
                    FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...KEITH KRAUSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120327.HORSE.01/GJT