FNUS73 KPAH 271451 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR BELLROSE 101...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 951 AM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK. DEPARTING HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS TODAY. AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES...THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT WILL MEANDER ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...KEEPING THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST. THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS WELL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 400-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............61 65 69 72 75 76 77 77 76 RH..............50 46 44 42 38 39 39 40 43 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 10 20 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.9 2.9 3.8 4.5 4.7 4.4 3.3 1.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 15 15 16 17 17 15 13 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 60. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............74 69 67 65 63 62 RH..............50 63 73 75 81 84 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 6 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....400 BLW100 100 100 100 100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 10 S 9 SW 8 SW 7 SW 7 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81. RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4600-6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............61 70 77 79 RH..............90 68 54 50 20 FT WIND......SW 5G10 SW 6G10 W 7G20 W 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....200 1900 5500 6100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 W 18 W 17 W 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120327.BELLR.03/PAH