FNUS73 KPAH 271431 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR HANDY UNIT H...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 931 AM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK. DEPARTING HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS TODAY. AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES...THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT WILL MEANDER ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...KEEPING THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST. THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS WELL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE GRADUALLY BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-4600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 16 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............72 75 77 78 79 78 77 RH..............48 45 42 42 39 45 50 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 3.8 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.4 4.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.18 17 17 16 17 18 20 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 70 67 65 62 61 RH..............55 66 73 78 84 87 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 1200 BLW100 200 200 100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 S 13 S 8 SW 6 SW 6 SW 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80. RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5400-7300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 5100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 18 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............60 69 76 79 RH..............90 66 52 47 20 FT WIND......SW 4G5 W 5G10 SW 5G10 W 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....200 3100 6300 7100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 5 W 18 W 10 W 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...SCOTT BASHAW TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120327.HANDY.05/PAH