FNUS73 KPAH 271311 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BLACK RIVER CONSERVATION AREA...MISSOURI DEPT CONSERVATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 811 AM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK. DEPARTING HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS TODAY. AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES...THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT WILL MEANDER ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...KEEPING THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST. THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS WELL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3300-4900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2100 FT AGL IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............69 72 75 77 78 79 78 77 RH..............59 53 49 45 43 45 48 51 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 8 8 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 20 20 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 3.3 4.3 4.8 4.9 4.5 3.5 2.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 15 16 17 16 16 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 60. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 70 67 65 63 62 RH..............60 71 78 81 87 90 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....900 200 100 100 200 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 9 S 8 SW 7 SW 6 SW 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80. RH..................MIN 48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4400-6100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............61 69 76 79 RH..............90 68 56 52 20 FT WIND......SW 4G5 SW 6G10 SW 6G10 SW 7G20 MIX HGT (FT)....100 3300 6100 5900 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 W 18 W 14 SW 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...STEVE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120327.SILOH.03/PAH